To be fair, would you back Toulouse to win more of their remaining games of Wakey.
On weight of history I would say Wakey and it might only need to be one or two - there are always some funny results knocking about when people are mathematically in or out of the play-offs etc..... so I think this is just getting going, nowhere near the end.
Same with 5th/6th. I don't think we are safe in the play-offs yet - 4th up is set, but 5th down to 9th doesn't take too much to swap around.
